Worldwide IT spending is projected to total $3,7-trillion in 2013, a 4,2% increase from 2012 spending of $3,6-trillion, according to the latest forecast by Gartner. The 2013 outlook for IT spending growth in US dollars has been revised upward from 3,8% in the Q3 2012 forecast.
Gartner analysts say much of this spending increase is the resultĀ of projected gains in the value of foreign currencies versus the dollar. When measured in constant dollars, 2013 spending growth is forecast to be 3,9%.
The Gartner Worldwide IT Spending Forecast is the leading indicator of major technology trends across the hardware, software, IT services and telecom markets.
For more than a decade, global IT and business executives have been using these highly anticipated quarterly reports to recognise market opportunities and challenges, and base their critical business decisions on proven methodologies rather than guesswork.
“Uncertainties surrounding prospects for an upturn in global economic growth are the major retardants to IT growth,” says Richard Gordon, managingĀ VP at Gartner.
“This uncertainty has caused the pessimistic business and consumer sentiment throughout the world. However, much of this uncertainty is nearing resolution, and as it does, we look for accelerated spending growth in 2013 compared to 2012.”
Worldwide devices spending, which includes PCs, tablets, mobile phones and printers, is forecast to reach $666-billion in 2013, up 6,3% from 2012. However, this is a significant reduction in the outlook for 2013 compared with Gartner’s previous forecast of $706-billion in worldwide devices and 7,9% growth.
The long-term forecast for worldwide spending on devices has been reduced as well, with growth from 2012 through 2016 now expected to average 4,5% annually in current US dollars (down from 6,4%) and 5,1% annually in constant dollars (down from 7,4%).
These reductions reflect a sharp reduction in the forecast growth in spending on PCs and tablets that is only partially offset by marginal increases in forecast growth in spending on mobile phones and printers.
“The tablet market has seen greater price competition from android devices as well as smaller, low-priced devices in emerging markets,” says Gordon.
“It is ultimately this shift toward relatively lower-priced tablets that lowers our average selling prices forecast for 2012 through 2016, which in turn is responsible for slowing device spending growth in general, and PC and tablet spending growth in particular.”
Worldwide enterprise software spending is forecast to total $296-billion in 2013, a 6,4% increase from 2012.
This segment will be driven by key markets such as security, storage management and customer relationship management; however, beginning in 2014, markets aligned to big data and other information management initiatives, such as enterprise content management, data integration tools, and data quality tools will begin to see increased levels of investment.
The global telecom services market continues to be the largest IT spending market. Gartner analysts predict that growth will be predominately flat over the next several years as revenue from mobile data services compensates for the declines in total spending for both the fixed and mobile voice services markets.
By 2016, Gartner forecasts that mobile data will represent 33% of the total telecom services market, up from 22% in 2012.