Payment service provider PayGate is predicting a 30% increase in Black Friday sales this year – and local shoppers can expect a deal bonanza as retailers extend their number of sale days.

The shopping holiday originated in the US as the day after the Thanksgiving holiday when retail outlets would significantly reduce prices. This brick-and-mortar sale day was soon joined by Cyber Monday when online stores capitalised on the primed deal-hunting psyche of consumers at the end of the weekend. The two days have now blurred into one chaotic shopping sensation.

Just how effective the marketing of this weekend is can be seen in the record-breaking numbers out of the US. In 2018, the US online sales alone hit $6,2-billion.

South Africans have quickly caught onto the retail phenomenon. According to retail tracker, Black Friday Global, interest in Black Friday deals in South Africa has grown by 9 900% over the past five years.

PayGate’s tracking of payments for Black Friday, meanwhile, shows the number of transactions doubling every year for the past three years; and payment clearing house, BankservAfrica, says it saw a 55% growth in transactions in 2018 compared to the previous year.

PayGate expects 2019 Black Friday transactions to grow by 30% this year.

“To be fair, South African ecommerce growth comes off a very low base. It has only been in the past three years or so that it has really taken off. This is largely driven by user behavior and the massive ad spend thrown at the shopping day by the larger retailers, explains Brendon Williamson, chief sales officer at PayGate.

“We expect many of the local retailers will extend the sale days to more than just the weekend and may even spread it out over the week ahead of the official 29 November date. This will encourage those who receive their salary cheques on the 25th to get involved while they are still cash flush.”

Based on BanksServe Africa’s publicly-released figures, as well as its own analysis, in 2018 PayGate processed 64% of Black Friday transactions. The company believes this could increase to as much as 70% in 2019.

While PayGate expects the sale days to be extended, it believes the size of the baskets will probably remain similar to 2018, with consumers aware of the event and saving up to take advantage of the prices – most especially for tech and hardware and appliances.

Lessons have been learned over the years and the more established South African businesses are in the thick of preparations for the shopping extravaganza.

“We have definitely seen a surge in new merchant applications,” says Williamson. “Everyone within the online payment ecosystem are much more aware of the unique needs of e-commerce businesses and so are better positioned to help set-up merchants to enable faster payments.

“From a transactional process point of view, we know we are prepared as our processing systems now auto scale as the transaction volumes demand which gives our merchants a real peace of mind should their sales hit unexpected peaks during the day.”

The last and lingering impression when shopping online is the act of receiving the product. For retailers both large and small, the last mile in the customer journey can have a direct impact on retaining customers and boosting repeat business.

Grant Gietl, GM of World Net Express says South African businesses need to keep a few vital facts in mind when planning for the delivery logistics associated with Black Friday and other seasonal sales.

“Good logistics companies will track historical data and plan ahead with their ecommerce clients,” Williamson says. “We have seen that our client deliveries can increase by anything from 30% to 100% during Black Friday promotions, and we make sure we are ready to handle the extra volume by working closely with them in the planning phase.”